Bay, Volquez, Parra, Moylan -- The Observations
First off, my doubts are dissipating on Jason Bay. Are they still there? Yes, but two home runs in three days goes a long way to helping change my mind, at least this early in the season. Suddenly, his OPS is back over .900 -- like it was during those three glorious years in Pittsburgh -- his slugging percentage sits at a respectable .500, and you know I love those 10 walks compared to only nine strikeouts. I still don't want to put my complete faith in him just yet, but I'm feeling a bit more at ease today if I'm one of the many Fantasy owners who drafted him as my third or fourth outfielder.
In that same game, Edinson Volquez pitched five shutout innings before having to leave because of a rain delay, lowering his ERA to 0.87. On the surface, his stat line looks good, but I'd like to see more than one strikeout and fewer than three walks -- in only five innings, remember -- from the hard-throwing right-hander. Ideally, I envision a ratio of no less than 2-to-1, with two marking the number of strikeouts. Take a chance on Volquez if you have the roster space, but I think he could potentially go all Matt Garza in 2007 on us (meaning he'll look good for a few starts, then struggle).
Speaking of walks, Carlos Zambrano had only one Friday night. He had his worst start of the season, sure, but as long as he keeps his walks in check, I think he can pass as a Fantasy ace.
After he allowed three runs on six hits in four innings against the Mets, I'm done with Manny Parra in mixed leagues. There's just too many other good options out there. If he gets on a roll, I can always pick him up again, but I have a feeling he'll go to Triple-A once Yovani Gallardo returns.
Two more homers for Carlos Pena on Friday, pushing his season total to five. He might strike out twice every game and not hit much higher than .250, but those 46 bombs last year look more and more legit.
Peter Moylan recorded his first save. Is he the closer in Atlanta with Rafael Soriano sidelined? If so, he should be a good one, but I don't know if Bobby Cox is ready to make the final call yet.
With two home runs, Jeremy Hermida must want to make up for lost time. Don't forget all that sleeper talk going into the season.
And finally, I don't know what's wrong with C.C. Sabathia (nine runs in 3 1/3 innings, 11.57 ERA so far) or Roy Oswalt (eight in four, 9.00), but I hope (and suspect) they'll turn it around soon.
That's all for now.
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Posted on: April 13, 2008 7:08 am
Bay, Volquez, Parra, Moylan -- the observationsI don't see Manny Parra going to Triple A at all, his last outing looked a lot worse in the box score than what it actually was. More key is that he's Milwaukee's only in the rotation and David Bush has been struggling immensely this season. Expect a demotion of Bush when Gallardo returns, and if it's not him it will likely be Villanueva
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